Okay, okay, so I’ve gotten into countless debates with friends, coworkers, followers, and complete strangers about the Alvarez v Golovkin fight that will take place on September 16th, 2017 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let me first state that you can make a solid argument for either fighter. However this post highlights my top five reasons, in no particular order, for why I believe Canelo Alvarez is going to win the middleweight superfight later this month.
1) Golovkin, while strong, has a bad habit of throwing wild punches, especially when his opponent backs him up against the ropes. This is exactly what you don’t want to do against Alvarez, as he has a knack for finding an opening for a wicked counter punch. And once Alvarez finds a rhythm after a counterpunch, good luck stopping him. Check out this clip of GGG fighting Kell Brook last year, and fast forward to 7:41. As you can see, Brook sneaks in an uppercut, after which Golovkin panics and overextends on his cross, leaving him completely vulnerable to a countershot. Brook didn’t take advantage of this opportunity, but Alvarez has a much higher ring IQ and you better believe that if GGG overextends like that with him, Canelo is going to have him laid out like Deebo in “Friday.” If you need proof, ask Amir Kahn how overextending worked for him against Alvarez in 2016 (fast-forward to 25:25. Also, this is one of my favorite Canelo fights).
2) Canelo has had a tougher path to this fight, point-blank period. He’s beaten Shane Mosley, Austin Trout, James Kirkland, and Miguel Cotto, just to name a few. Alvarez’ only career loss? Floyd Mayweather in 2013, and even in that fight, he held his own. GGG’s boxing resume is a lot less impressive, with his opponents being boxers like Martin Murray and David Lemieux (look them up, because I know y’all don’t know who they are. No one does. Lol). The point is, GGG has never fought an elite boxer, and the last guy you want to be the guinea pig for this little “let’s find out if I can beat a formidable opponent” experiment is friggin’ Canelo Alvarez. And don’t hop in my comments talking about Willie Monroe Jr., because he is NOT an elite boxer (yet. He will be, but not quite yet).
3) Body shots. Body shots. Body shots. And I’m not talking about drinking a shot of tequila off your roommate’s stomach at a frat party in college. I’m talking about the hits that aren’t glamorous and aren’t going to make it to a highlight reel, but are incredibly important to a fight. Clean, strong punches to a fighter’s sides, stomach, and chest cause major damage, and above all, are EXHAUSTING. This is where Canelo is going to shine, because of Gennady’s somewhat lackluster defense. Because GGG is so strong and can typically withstand a few body shots, he doesn’t seem to see a need to improve his defense. Believe me when I say, Alvarez is going to make him pay dearly for this approach, should he use it (which he will, because I’ve never seen him fight another way).
4) Alvarez’ hand speed is CRAZY. Like insane. Not to say that Golovkin is a sloth, but when compared to Alvarez, he’s getting left in the dust. GGG has a nice same-hand double hook combo that he likes to use, but it’s nothing compared to the hail of landed punches I’ve seen Canelo open up on his opponents.
5) While Canelo usually takes a round or two to find his rhythm, once he gets started he’s at full speed until the end of the fight. GGG on the other hand, also is a bit of a slow starter, but then additionally is pretty inconsistent in regards to levels of energy. He’ll randomly have rounds where it looks like he’s sleepwalking, which is why Daniel Jacobs beat him (yes, I know the judges’ decision was that GGG won, but if you actually WATCHED that fight, Jacobs beat the brakes off Golovkin and he got robbed by the judges). Act sleepy with Alvarez and he’ll put you to sleep for real (see point #4).
So there you have it. Look, I’m not saying GGG can’t win…he very well could. The truth is, these guys are such a good matchup that no one can confidently predict the outcome of this fight. What we DO know for certain is that this is going to be a knockdown drag-out DOGFIGHT, and I can’t wait to see it play out on September 16. Get your popcorn ready, folks. This is gonna be a good one.
Event: Middleweight World Championship
Location: T-Mobile Arena—Las Vegas, NV
Network: HBO Pay-Per-View
Fight Card (my predicted winners in bold):
Middleweight (Main Event): Alvarez vs Golovkin
Featherweight: Jorge Lara vs Joseph Diaz
Super Bantamweight: Diego De La Hoya vs Randy Caballero
Featherweight: Claudio Marrero vs Jesus Rojas
Super Lightweight Roberto Ortiz vs Antonio Orozco
I’m sure some of you still want to argue about this, and that’s okay. Lol. Feel free to comment here or on my Insta: @_MicaNicole